Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Sparta Rotterdam to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.79 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.79Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Rotterdam to win ✗63% · @1.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle preview and prediction
The match
PEC Zwolle travel to Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel in the Eredivisie on Friday 4 September (19:00 WAT) to face Sparta Rotterdam. Sparta Rotterdam are 12th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while PEC Zwolle sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sparta Rotterdam's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Excelsior 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
PEC Zwolle's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to NEC Nijmegen 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sparta Rotterdam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.2 for PEC Zwolle. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Rotterdam to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.79, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 PEC Zwolle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Rotterdam63%fair 1.58 · @1.79
Draw13%fair 7.88 · @3.95
PEC Zwolle24%fair 4.15 · @3.85
3.30Expected goals
2.13Sparta Rotterdam xG
1.17PEC Zwolle xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sparta Rotterdam 2.1 – 1.2 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Sparta Rotterdam to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.79.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Sparta Rotterdam have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and PEC Zwolle 24%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
