Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard preview and prediction
The match
Fortuna Sittard travel to Euroborg in the Eredivisie on Friday 28 August (19:00 WAT) to face Groningen. Groningen are 9th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Fortuna Sittard sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Groningen's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to PSV Eindhoven 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fortuna Sittard's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to AZ Alkmaar 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Groningen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.6 for Groningen and 1.1 for Fortuna Sittard. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Groningen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groningen66%fair 1.51 · @1.52
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.40
Fortuna Sittard12%fair 8.67 · @5.40
3.68Expected goals
2.57Groningen xG
1.11Fortuna Sittard xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Groningen 2.6 – 1.1 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✗
66%
1.51
1.52
Double chance
Groningen or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Half-time result
Groningen ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Form
Groningen – last 6
LWWWDL
23 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
1–5
L
16 Aug
@ ADO Den Haag
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Utrecht
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Valladolid
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Volos NFC
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs FC Volendam
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
LWDWLL
22 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Metz
1–3
L
17 Jul
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groningen and Fortuna Sittard.
What is the prediction for Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers Groningen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortuna Sittard 12%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our predicted score is Groningen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
