Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓63% · @1.41
Double chanceAZ Alkmaar or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag preview and prediction
The match
AZ Alkmaar host ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at AFAS Stadion. AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top half), while ADO Den Haag sit 17th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AZ Alkmaar's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat PSV Eindhoven 4–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
ADO Den Haag's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Asteras Tripolis 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.0 for ADO Den Haag. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AZ Alkmaar 63%, draw 21%, ADO Den Haag 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: AZ Alkmaar 2–1 ADO Den Haag. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AZ Alkmaar63%fair 1.59 · @1.41
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.60
ADO Den Haag16%fair 6.11 · @6.80
3.25Expected goals
2.20AZ Alkmaar xG
1.05ADO Den Haag xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 2.2 – 1.0 ADO Den Haag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✓
63%
1.59
1.41
Double chance
AZ Alkmaar or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Half-time result
AZ Alkmaar ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
WWWDWD
2 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Genk
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ Zulte Waregem
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Almere City FC
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Gent
3–3
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag – last 6
DWWWWW
31 Jul
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Lommel United
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
4 Jul
@ Laakkwartier
5–1
W
24 Apr
@ Den Bosch
3–1
W
17 Apr
vs Waalwijk
5–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag.
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ADO Den Haag 16%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 2–1 ADO Den Haag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
