Value bet: MVV to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.79
MVV vs VVV Venlo preview and prediction
The match
MVV host VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at De Geusselt. MVV are 8th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while VVV Venlo sit 2nd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MVV's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Excelsior 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
VVV Venlo's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Vitesse 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
VVV Venlo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished MVV 2–1 VVV Venlo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.8 for MVV and 2.2 for VVV Venlo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: MVV 33%, draw 20%, VVV Venlo 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Value angle: MVV to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: MVV 1–2 VVV Venlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MVV33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
VVV Venlo47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
4.04Expected goals
1.85MVV xG
2.19VVV Venlo xG
68%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: MVV 1.8 – 2.2 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win MVV vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers MVV have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and VVV Venlo 47%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–2 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is MVV vs VVV Venlo?
MVV vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
