Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Emmen vs Almere City FC preview and prediction
The match
Almere City FC travel to De Oude Meerdijk in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 17 October (15:30 WAT) to face Emmen. Emmen are 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Almere City FC sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emmen's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Dordrecht 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Almere City FC's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat FC Eindhoven 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Emmen 4–0 Almere City FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Emmen and 1.8 for Almere City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emmen 37%, draw 22%, Almere City FC 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Almere City FC to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Emmen 1–1 Almere City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emmen37%fair 2.72 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Almere City FC41%fair 2.46 · @2.90
3.45Expected goals
1.68Emmen xG
1.77Almere City FC xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Emmen 1.7 – 1.8 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Emmen vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Emmen vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Emmen have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almere City FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Emmen 1–1 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs Almere City FC?
Emmen vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
