Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Seacon - De KoelVVV Venlo vs Jong AZ prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: VVV Venlo 2.1 – 1.9 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
VVV Venlo hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 36% for Jong AZ.
VVV Venlo have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Jong AZ have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.1 for VVV Venlo, 1.9 for Jong AZ). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.40.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | VVV Venlo to win ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | VVV Venlo ahead at half-time ✗ | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo ✗ | 27% | 3.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 13.02 | – |
Form
VVV Venlo – last 6
| 9 Oct | @ Jong Ajax | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Roda | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ FC Volendam | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Jong Utrecht | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs FC OSS | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Helmond Sport | 2–4 | L |
Jong AZ – last 6
| 9 Oct | vs Den Bosch | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs FC Volendam | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ Jong PSV U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Heracles | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Dordrecht | 6–3 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Jong Utrecht | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VVV Venlo and Jong AZ.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers VVV Venlo have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jong AZ 36%.
How many goals will there be in VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
When is VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Seacon - De Koel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.