Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeracles to win ✗67% · @1.36
Double chanceHeracles or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Helmond Sport vs Heracles preview and prediction
The match
Heracles travel to Lavans Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 2 October (20:00 WAT) to face Helmond Sport. Helmond Sport are 7th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Heracles sit 16th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Helmond Sport's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to MVV 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Heracles's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Vitesse 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Heracles arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.2 for Helmond Sport and 2.7 for Heracles. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Helmond Sport 14%, draw 19%, Heracles 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Helmond Sport 1–2 Heracles. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Helmond Sport14%fair 7.14 · @6.50
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.80
Heracles67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
3.94Expected goals
1.24Helmond Sport xG
2.70Heracles xG
65%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–25%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.2 – 2.7 Heracles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.38
–
Form
Helmond Sport – last 6
LLWWLD
26 Sep
@ MVV
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Den Bosch
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs VVV Venlo
4–2
W
28 Aug
@ Jong Ajax
2–3
L
21 Aug
vs Waalwijk
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Heracles – last 6
WLWWWW
26 Sep
vs Vitesse
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–2
W
4 Sep
vs De Graafschap
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
6–1
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Helmond Sport and Heracles.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Heracles 67%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–2 Heracles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
Helmond Sport vs Heracles (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Lavans Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
