Value bet: Jong Ajax to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJong Ajax to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.94
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax preview and prediction
The match
Jong Utrecht host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch. Jong Utrecht are 20th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Jong Ajax sit 18th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Utrecht's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat NAC Breda 3–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Jong Ajax's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Waalwijk 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Jong Ajax arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Jong Ajax 0–2 Jong Utrecht.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.9 for Jong Utrecht and 1.9 for Jong Ajax. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Utrecht 39%, draw 21%, Jong Ajax 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Jong Ajax to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Jong Utrecht 1–1 Jong Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Utrecht39%fair 2.57 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.70
Jong Ajax40%fair 2.52 · @2.70
3.79Expected goals
1.88Jong Utrecht xG
1.91Jong Ajax xG
71%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Jong Utrecht 1.9 – 1.9 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Jong Utrecht have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jong Ajax 40%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Jong Utrecht 1–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax?
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
