The Eerste Divisie sees De Graafschap take on Den Bosch on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at De Vijverberg. De Graafschap are 1st with 0 points from 0 games (top of the table), while Den Bosch sit 3rd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
De Graafschap's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to NAC Breda 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Den Bosch's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Helmond Sport 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Den Bosch arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.1 for De Graafschap and 1.9 for Den Bosch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: De Graafschap 46%, draw 19%, Den Bosch 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.29.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: De Graafschap 2–1 Den Bosch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
De Graafschap46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.80
Den Bosch35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.14De Graafschap xG
1.86Den Bosch xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 2.1 – 1.9 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✓
46%
2.18
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.40
1.29
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.82
–
Form
De Graafschap – last 6
LWLLLL
20 Sep
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Emmen
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Heracles
0–5
L
29 Aug
vs Almere City FC
1–4
L
23 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Jong AZ
2–5
L
1.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Den Bosch – last 6
WLLLWL
18 Sep
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Volendam
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Jong PSV U21
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Vitesse
1–4
L
21 Aug
vs FC Eindhoven
5–2
W
14 Aug
@ Heracles
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and Den Bosch.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Den Bosch 35%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 2–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
De Graafschap vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
