Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✗55% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Dordrecht take on Almere City FC on Friday 25 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at GN Bouw Stadion. Dordrecht are 4th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while Almere City FC sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dordrecht's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FC OSS 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Almere City FC's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Heracles 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almere City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Almere City FC 4–1 Dordrecht.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.4 for Dordrecht and 2.2 for Almere City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dordrecht 25%, draw 20%, Almere City FC 55%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Almere City FC to win at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Dordrecht 1–2 Almere City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dordrecht25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
Almere City FC55%fair 1.81 · @2.05
3.57Expected goals
1.40Dordrecht xG
2.17Almere City FC xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.4 – 2.2 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Almere City FC 55%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–2 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs Almere City FC?
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at GN Bouw Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
