Value bet: Vitesse to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 11.65
Roda vs Vitesse preview and prediction
The match
Vitesse travel to Parkstad Limburg Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 12 September (15:30 WAT) to face Roda. Roda are 14th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Vitesse sit 15th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Roda's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with MVV 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Vitesse's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat FC OSS 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 July 2026, finished Vitesse 1–1 Roda. Across their last 2 meetings Roda have won 0, Vitesse 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Roda and 1.4 for Vitesse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roda 39%, draw 22%, Vitesse 38%.
Value angle: Vitesse to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance. Predicted score: Roda 1–0 Vitesse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roda39%fair 2.54 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Vitesse38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
2.80Expected goals
1.41Roda xG
1.39Vitesse xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–18%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Roda 1.4 – 1.4 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Roda have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vitesse 38%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Vitesse?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is Roda 1–0 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Vitesse?
Roda vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
