Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: MVV to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.77
MVV vs Roda preview and prediction
The match
Roda travel to De Geusselt in the Eerste Divisie on Sunday 6 September (15:45 WAT) to face MVV. MVV are 8th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Roda sit 14th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MVV's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Jong AZ 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Roda's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with NAC Breda 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for MVV and 1.4 for Roda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: MVV 34%, draw 22%, Roda 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: MVV to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: MVV 1–1 Roda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MVV34%fair 2.92 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Roda44%fair 2.27 · @2.10
2.63Expected goals
1.21MVV xG
1.42Roda xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: MVV 1.2 – 1.4 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
44%
2.27
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.77
–
Form
MVV – last 6
WLWWWD
28 Aug
@ Jong AZ
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ KRC Genk II
0–6
L
21 Aug
vs FC Volendam
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Patro Eisden
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
DWWLLW
28 Aug
vs NAC Breda
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Emmen
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Alemannia Aachen
2–4
L
17 Jul
vs Beerschot VA
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and Roda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win MVV vs Roda?
On our numbers MVV have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Roda 44%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs Roda?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs Roda?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–1 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is MVV vs Roda?
MVV vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
