Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 2.75 – our chance 46% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓46% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67
De Graafschap vs Almere City FC preview and prediction
The match
De Graafschap host Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at De Vijverberg. De Graafschap are 1st with 0 points from 0 games (top of the table), while Almere City FC sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
De Graafschap's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to VVV Venlo 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Almere City FC's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Vitesse 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Almere City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Almere City FC 3–1 De Graafschap.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for De Graafschap and 1.9 for Almere City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: De Graafschap 35%, draw 19%, Almere City FC 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.30.
Value angle: Almere City FC to win at 2.75 – 46% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: De Graafschap 1–2 Almere City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
De Graafschap35%fair 2.83 · @2.20
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.00
Almere City FC46%fair 2.18 · @2.75
3.55Expected goals
1.65De Graafschap xG
1.90Almere City FC xG
69%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 1.6 – 1.9 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Almere City FC 46%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 1–2 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
De Graafschap vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
