The Eerste Divisie sees VVV Venlo take on De Graafschap on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 15:45 (WAT) at Seacon - De Koel. VVV Venlo are 2nd with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while De Graafschap sit 1st on 0 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
VVV Venlo's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat NAC Breda 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
De Graafschap's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Jong AZ 2–5 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.2 for VVV Venlo and 2.3 for De Graafschap. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 73%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: VVV Venlo 36%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (73%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: VVV Venlo 2–2 De Graafschap. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VVV Venlo36%fair 2.80 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
De Graafschap42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
4.50Expected goals
2.17VVV Venlo xG
2.33De Graafschap xG
73%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–36%
3–25%
From our goals model: VVV Venlo 2.2 – 2.3 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
42%
2.39
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.36
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
15.27
–
Form
VVV Venlo – last 6
WLLLLW
14 Aug
@ NAC Breda
2–0
W
7 Aug
vs Heracles
3–4
L
1 Aug
vs AS Eupen
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Köln
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ FC Viktoria Köln
3–5
L
18 Jul
vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
LDLWLL
17 Aug
vs Jong AZ
2–5
L
9 Aug
@ Helmond Sport
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Excelsior
1–5
L
25 Jul
vs Kifisia
4–2
W
17 Jul
vs Telstar
3–6
L
12 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VVV Venlo and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers VVV Venlo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and De Graafschap 42%.
How many goals will there be in VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is VVV Venlo 2–2 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Seacon - De Koel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
