NAC Breda host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Rat Verlegh Stadion. NAC Breda are 13th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Jong Ajax sit 18th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NAC Breda's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to VVV Venlo 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Jong Ajax's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Emmen 4–6 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
NAC Breda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 3.0 for NAC Breda and 1.0 for Jong Ajax. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: NAC Breda 75%, draw 16%, Jong Ajax 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: NAC Breda 3–1 Jong Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NAC Breda75%fair 1.33 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @6.00
Jong Ajax8%fair 12.24 · @11.00
4.08Expected goals
3.03NAC Breda xG
1.05Jong Ajax xG
63%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–08%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: NAC Breda 3.0 – 1.0 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Double chance
NAC Breda or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.83
Half-time result
NAC Breda ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✓
54%
1.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Form
NAC Breda – last 6
LWLWWL
14 Aug
vs VVV Venlo
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ FC OSS
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Bolton
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs OFI
3–2
W
25 Jul
@ Lokeren-Temse
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Excelsior
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 6
LLLLWL
17 Aug
vs Emmen
4–6
L
7 Aug
@ Dordrecht
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ Jong AZ
0–3
L
24 Apr
vs Jong Utrecht
0–2
L
17 Apr
@ Jong PSV U21
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs FC OSS
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAC Breda and Jong Ajax.
What is the prediction for NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers NAC Breda have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Jong Ajax 8%.
How many goals will there be in NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is NAC Breda 3–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
