Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Waalwijk to win @ 2.62 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗46% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Vitesse vs Waalwijk preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Vitesse take on Waalwijk on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at GelreDome. Vitesse are 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Waalwijk sit 12th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitesse's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Al-Jazira 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Waalwijk's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Kifisia 3–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Vitesse and 1.7 for Waalwijk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitesse 35%, draw 19%, Waalwijk 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Waalwijk to win at 2.62 – 46% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Vitesse 1–1 Waalwijk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitesse35%fair 2.88 · @2.38
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.75
Waalwijk46%fair 2.18 · @2.62
3.10Expected goals
1.42Vitesse xG
1.68Waalwijk xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.4 – 1.7 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✗
46%
2.18
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.09
–
Form
Vitesse – last 6
LDWDDW
18 Jul
vs Al-Jazira
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund II
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Roda
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs MVV
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Jong Utrecht
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
WLLDDW
2 Aug
vs Kifisia
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Patro Eisden
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Bochum II
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Kozakken Boys
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Jong AZ
1–1
D
30 Jun
vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Waalwijk.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Vitesse vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Waalwijk 46%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Waalwijk?
Vitesse vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
