Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Saprissa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Saprissa to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.44
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense travel to face Deportivo Saprissa in the Primera División on Sunday 1 November (23:00 WAT). Deportivo Saprissa are 1st with 31 points from 16 games (top of the table), while LD Alajuelense sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Saprissa's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Firpo 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
LD Alajuelense's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat CD Motagua 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
LD Alajuelense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished LD Alajuelense 0–2 Deportivo Saprissa. Across their last 3 meetings Deportivo Saprissa have won 2, LD Alajuelense 0, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.0 for LD Alajuelense. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Safer route: Deportivo Saprissa or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Deportivo Saprissa to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Saprissa or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Saprissa 1–0 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Saprissa60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
LD Alajuelense17%fair 5.83 · @3.70
2.92Expected goals
1.96Deportivo Saprissa xG
0.96LD Alajuelense xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Saprissa 2.0 – 1.0 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Deportivo Saprissa or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers Deportivo Saprissa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and LD Alajuelense 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Saprissa 1–0 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
