Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCS Herediano to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense travel to Estadio Carlos Alvarado in the Primera División on Monday 10 August (01:00 WAT) to face CS Herediano. CS Herediano are 8th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while LD Alajuelense sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CS Herediano's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Alianza 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LD Alajuelense's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Diriangén 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
LD Alajuelense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 July 2026, finished LD Alajuelense 0–1 CS Herediano. Across their last 2 meetings CS Herediano have won 2, LD Alajuelense 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for CS Herediano and 1.1 for LD Alajuelense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 2.95 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: CS Herediano 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CS Herediano41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
LD Alajuelense36%fair 2.76 · @2.95
2.33Expected goals
1.21CS Herediano xG
1.12LD Alajuelense xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: CS Herediano 1.2 – 1.1 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers CS Herediano have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and LD Alajuelense 36%.
How many goals will there be in CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is CS Herediano 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Alvarado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
