Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✗47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
Sporting San Jose host LD Alajuelense in the Primera División on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Puente de Piedra. Sporting San Jose are 3rd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while LD Alajuelense sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sporting San Jose's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Atletico San Luis 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
LD Alajuelense's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to CS Herediano 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
LD Alajuelense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Sporting San Jose 0–2 LD Alajuelense. Across their last 2 meetings Sporting San Jose have won 1, LD Alajuelense 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Sporting San Jose and 1.4 for LD Alajuelense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting San Jose 31%, draw 22%, LD Alajuelense 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sporting San Jose 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting San Jose31%fair 3.25 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
LD Alajuelense47%fair 2.13 · @2.45
2.53Expected goals
1.09Sporting San Jose xG
1.44LD Alajuelense xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sporting San Jose 1.1 – 1.4 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers Sporting San Jose have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LD Alajuelense 47%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is Sporting San Jose 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?
Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Puente de Piedra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
