Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVardar Skopje to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceVardar Skopje or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.82
Skopje vs Vardar Skopje preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Skopje take on Vardar Skopje on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Skopje are 10th with 4 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Vardar Skopje sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Skopje's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Bregalnica Štip 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Vardar Skopje's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Shkëndija Haraçinë 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vardar Skopje arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Skopje and 1.7 for Vardar Skopje. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Vardar Skopje to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Skopje 0–1 Vardar Skopje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Skopje12%fair 8.29 · @10.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.50
Vardar Skopje66%fair 1.53 · @1.25
2.31Expected goals
0.58Skopje xG
1.73Vardar Skopje xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–39%
From our goals model: Skopje 0.6 – 1.7 Vardar Skopje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vardar Skopje to win✓
66%
1.53
1.25
Double chance
Vardar Skopje or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Vardar Skopje ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vardar Skopje / FT Vardar Skopje✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.82
–
Form
Skopje – last 6
LLWLDD
23 Sep
@ Bregalnica Štip
0–1
L
14 Sep
@ Shkëndija Haraçinë
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Kozuv Gevgelija
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Bashkimi Kumanovo
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Aresimi
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Tikveš
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Vardar Skopje – last 6
WDWWDW
19 Sep
vs Shkëndija Haraçinë
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Bashkimi Kumanovo
3–3
D
7 Sep
vs Aresimi
2–0
W
3 Sep
@ Ovce Pole
5–0
W
31 Aug
@ Tikveš
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Sileks
4–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Skopje and Vardar Skopje.
What is the prediction for Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?
Our pick is Vardar Skopje to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?
On our numbers Skopje have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vardar Skopje 66%.
How many goals will there be in Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?
Our predicted score is Skopje 0–1 Vardar Skopje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?
Skopje vs Vardar Skopje (First League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
