Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tikveš to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTikveš to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceTikveš or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.40
Tikveš vs Aresimi preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Tikveš take on Aresimi on Friday 24 July, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Gradski Stadion Kavadarci. Tikveš are 3rd with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Aresimi sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tikveš's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat FK Rabotnicki 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Aresimi's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Struga 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Aresimi 0–5 Tikveš.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Tikveš and 0.9 for Aresimi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tikveš 60%, draw 22%, Aresimi 18%.
Safer route: Tikveš or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Tikveš to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tikveš or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tikveš 1–0 Aresimi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tikveš60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
Aresimi18%fair 5.63 · @3.55
2.75Expected goals
1.85Tikveš xG
0.89Aresimi xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tikveš 1.9 – 0.9 Aresimi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tikveš or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tikveš vs Aresimi?
On our numbers Tikveš have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aresimi 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tikveš vs Aresimi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tikveš vs Aresimi?
Our predicted score is Tikveš 1–0 Aresimi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tikveš vs Aresimi?
Tikveš vs Aresimi (First League) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion Kavadarci.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
