Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsbjerg to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Esbjerg vs HB Koge preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Esbjerg take on HB Koge on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Blue Water Arena. Esbjerg are 10th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while HB Koge sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esbjerg's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to FC Fredericia 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
HB Koge's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Hillerød 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished HB Koge 0–1 Esbjerg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Esbjerg and 0.9 for HB Koge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esbjerg 61%, draw 19%, HB Koge 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Esbjerg to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Esbjerg 1–0 HB Koge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esbjerg61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
HB Koge20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
2.79Expected goals
1.87Esbjerg xG
0.92HB Koge xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Esbjerg 1.9 – 0.9 HB Koge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Esbjerg to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
On our numbers Esbjerg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and HB Koge 20%.
How many goals will there be in Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
Our predicted score is Esbjerg 1–0 HB Koge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
Esbjerg vs HB Koge (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Blue Water Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
