Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Hillerød to win @ 2.26 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHillerød to win ✗49% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65
HB Koge vs Hillerød preview and prediction
The match
Hillerød travel to Capelli Sport Stadion in the 1. Division on Friday 4 September (18:00 WAT) to face HB Koge. HB Koge are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Hillerød sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
HB Koge's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Aalborg 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Hillerød's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Hobro 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game.
Hillerød arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for HB Koge and 1.7 for Hillerød. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: HB Koge 30%, draw 21%, Hillerød 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Hillerød to win at 2.26 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: HB Koge 1–1 Hillerød. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HB Koge30%fair 3.29 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.45
Hillerød49%fair 2.04 · @2.26
3.02Expected goals
1.30HB Koge xG
1.72Hillerød xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: HB Koge 1.3 – 1.7 Hillerød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hillerød to win✗
49%
2.04
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hillerød / FT Hillerød✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.65
–
Form
HB Koge – last 6
DDLLLL
29 Aug
@ Aalborg
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Kolding IF
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Hvidovre
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Aarhus Fremad
1–3
L
4 Aug
@ Brønshøj
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Vejle
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hillerød – last 6
WWLDLW
30 Aug
vs Hobro
3–1
W
25 Aug
@ Avarta
4–0
W
20 Aug
@ Vendsyssel FF
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Aarhus Fremad
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Vejle
4–5
L
6 Aug
@ Vaeggerlose
12–0
W
4.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HB Koge and Hillerød.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win HB Koge vs Hillerød?
On our numbers HB Koge have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hillerød 49%.
How many goals will there be in HB Koge vs Hillerød?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HB Koge vs Hillerød?
Our predicted score is HB Koge 1–1 Hillerød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HB Koge vs Hillerød?
HB Koge vs Hillerød (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Capelli Sport Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
