Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAalborg to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Aalborg vs FC Fredericia preview and prediction
The match
FC Fredericia travel to Aalborg Portland Park in the 1. Division on Friday 14 August (18:00 WAT) to face Aalborg. Aalborg are 6th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while FC Fredericia sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Aalborg's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Kolding IF 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Fredericia's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Vendsyssel FF 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Fredericia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Aalborg and 1.3 for FC Fredericia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aalborg 40%, draw 22%, FC Fredericia 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aalborg 1–1 FC Fredericia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalborg40%fair 2.53 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
FC Fredericia38%fair 2.63 · @2.35
2.62Expected goals
1.33Aalborg xG
1.30FC Fredericia xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aalborg 1.3 – 1.3 FC Fredericia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalborg to win✗
40%
2.53
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalborg / FT Aalborg✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Aalborg – last 6
DWWWLD
9 Aug
vs Kolding IF
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Holstebro
3–1
W
31 Jul
@ Aarhus Fremad
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Hillerød
1–0
W
17 Jul
vs Silkeborg
1–2
L
8 Jul
vs Randers FC
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Fredericia – last 6
DWDWWW
9 Aug
vs Vendsyssel FF
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ SfB-Oure
6–0
W
31 Jul
@ AB Copenhagen
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs HB Koge
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Esbjerg
1–0
W
15 Jul
vs Mafra
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalborg and FC Fredericia.
What is the prediction for Aalborg vs FC Fredericia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Aalborg vs FC Fredericia?
On our numbers Aalborg have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Fredericia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs FC Fredericia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs FC Fredericia?
Our predicted score is Aalborg 1–1 FC Fredericia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aalborg vs FC Fredericia?
Aalborg vs FC Fredericia (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
