Value bet: Aalborg to win @ 1.93 – our chance 65% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAalborg to win ✗65% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Aalborg vs Kolding IF preview and prediction
The match
Aalborg host Kolding IF in the 1. Division on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Aalborg Portland Park. Aalborg are 6th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Kolding IF sit 9th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aalborg's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Holstebro 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Kolding IF's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Glamsbjerg 8–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Aalborg and 0.7 for Kolding IF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aalborg 65%, draw 15%, Kolding IF 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Aalborg to win at 1.93 – 65% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aalborg 1–0 Kolding IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalborg65%fair 1.55 · @1.93
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @3.55
Kolding IF20%fair 4.99 · @3.45
2.30Expected goals
1.62Aalborg xG
0.68Kolding IF xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aalborg 1.6 – 0.7 Kolding IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalborg to win✗
65%
1.55
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalborg / FT Aalborg✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.16
–
Form
Aalborg – last 6
WWWLDW
4 Aug
@ Holstebro
3–1
W
31 Jul
@ Aarhus Fremad
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Hillerød
1–0
W
17 Jul
vs Silkeborg
1–2
L
8 Jul
vs Randers FC
2–2
D
3 Jul
vs Viborg
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kolding IF – last 6
WLDLWW
4 Aug
@ Glamsbjerg
8–0
W
1 Aug
vs Hvidovre
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Esbjerg
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Sonderjyske
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Weiche Flensburg
6–0
W
8 Jul
vs Vendsyssel FF
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalborg and Kolding IF.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aalborg vs Kolding IF?
On our numbers Aalborg have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Kolding IF 20%.
How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs Kolding IF?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs Kolding IF?
Our predicted score is Aalborg 1–0 Kolding IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aalborg vs Kolding IF?
Aalborg vs Kolding IF (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
