Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHillerød to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.35
Hillerød vs Esbjerg preview and prediction
The match
Hillerød host Esbjerg in the 1. Division on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Helsingor Stadion. Hillerød are 8th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Esbjerg sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hillerød's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Aalborg 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Esbjerg's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Kolding IF 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Esbjerg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Esbjerg 0–0 Hillerød. Across their last 2 meetings Hillerød have won 0, Esbjerg 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Hillerød and 1.1 for Esbjerg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hillerød 39%, draw 22%, Esbjerg 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hillerød 1–1 Esbjerg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hillerød39%fair 2.54 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Esbjerg38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
2.25Expected goals
1.13Hillerød xG
1.11Esbjerg xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hillerød 1.1 – 1.1 Esbjerg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
On our numbers Hillerød have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Esbjerg 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
Our predicted score is Hillerød 1–1 Esbjerg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hillerød vs Esbjerg?
Hillerød vs Esbjerg (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Helsingor Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
