Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Aalborg to win @ 2.08 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAalborg to win ✓51% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Aalborg vs Hillerød preview and prediction
The match
Aalborg host Hillerød in the 1. Division on Friday 24 July, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Aalborg Portland Park. Aalborg are 6th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Hillerød sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aalborg's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Silkeborg 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Hillerød's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Lyngby 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Aalborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Aalborg 3–3 Hillerød.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Aalborg and 1.2 for Hillerød. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aalborg 51%, draw 21%, Hillerød 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Aalborg to win at 2.08 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Aalborg 1–1 Hillerød. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalborg51%fair 1.94 · @2.08
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.50
Hillerød28%fair 3.57 · @3.10
2.95Expected goals
1.74Aalborg xG
1.21Hillerød xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Aalborg 1.7 – 1.2 Hillerød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aalborg vs Hillerød?
On our numbers Aalborg have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hillerød 28%.
How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs Hillerød?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs Hillerød?
Our predicted score is Aalborg 1–1 Hillerød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aalborg vs Hillerød?
Aalborg vs Hillerød (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
