Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Resistencia to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultResistencia to win ✓64% · @1.90
Double chanceResistencia or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.00
Resistencia vs Encarnación preview and prediction
The match
The Division Intermedia sees Resistencia take on Encarnación on Tuesday 30 June, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Resistencia are 8th with 42 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Encarnación sit 16th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Resistencia's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Santani 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Encarnación's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to SOL DE America 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Resistencia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Resistencia and 0.7 for Encarnación. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Resistencia to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Resistencia or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Resistencia 1–0 Encarnación. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Resistencia64%fair 1.56 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
Encarnación14%fair 7.32 · @3.40
2.56Expected goals
1.85Resistencia xG
0.71Encarnación xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Resistencia 1.8 – 0.7 Encarnación expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Resistencia to win✓
64%
1.56
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Resistencia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Resistencia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Resistencia / FT Resistencia✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.00
–
Form
Resistencia – last 6
LWDDWL
4 Jun
@ Deportivo Santani
0–3
L
30 May
vs Fernando De La Mora
3–1
W
24 May
@ 3 de Noviembre
1–1
D
21 May
vs General Caballero
2–2
D
8 May
vs Paraguari AC
2–0
W
3 May
vs SOL DE America
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Encarnación – last 6
LLDLWL
8 Jun
vs SOL DE America
2–3
L
31 May
@ Deportivo Capiata
0–1
L
19 May
@ Tacuary
2–2
D
10 May
@ Benjamín Aceval
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Paraguari AC
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Deportivo Santani
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Resistencia and Encarnación.
What is the prediction for Resistencia vs Encarnación?
Our pick is Resistencia or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Resistencia vs Encarnación?
On our numbers Resistencia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Encarnación 14%.
How many goals will there be in Resistencia vs Encarnación?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Resistencia vs Encarnación?
Our predicted score is Resistencia 1–0 Encarnación, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Resistencia vs Encarnación?
Resistencia vs Encarnación (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
