Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Home United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 56% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +83%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.25
Double chanceHome United or draw ✗81% · @1.40
Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân preview and prediction
The match
The ASEAN Club Championship sees Home United take on Công An Nhân Dân on Thursday 8 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Jalan Besar Stadium. Home United are 4th with 4 points from 5 games, while Công An Nhân Dân sit 4th on 7 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Home United's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with BG Pathum United 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Công An Nhân Dân's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Bình Phước 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Công An Nhân Dân arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Betting angles
Win chances: Home United 24%, draw 56%, Công An Nhân Dân 19%.
Safer route: Home United or draw (81%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Draw at 3.25 – 56% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Home United or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Home United24%fair 4.14 · @2.20
Draw56%fair 1.77 · @3.25
Công An Nhân Dân19%fair 5.13 · @2.70
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.77
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Home United or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.40 ▲
Form
Home United – last 6
DDLLDW
17 Sep
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Hougang United
2–2
D
17 May
@ Tampines Rovers
2–3
L
10 May
vs Albirex Niigata S
0–2
L
3 May
@ Tampines Rovers
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Geylang International
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
WLWWWW
20 Sep
@ Bình Phước
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
1–4
L
10 Sep
@ Viettel
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Ho Chi Minh
5–0
W
11 Aug
@ Adelaide United
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Home United and Công An Nhân Dân.
What is the prediction for Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our pick is Home United or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
On our numbers Home United have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Công An Nhân Dân 19%.
When is Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Home United vs Công An Nhân Dân (ASEAN Club Championship) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Jalan Besar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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