Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
First League · Bulgaria · Hristo Bonev
0–3
FT

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Ludogorets to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLudogorets to win ✓69% · @1.44
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.18

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets preview and prediction

The match

The First League sees Lokomotiv Plovdiv take on Ludogorets on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Hristo Bonev. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Ludogorets sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Slavia Sofia 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Ludogorets's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Ludogorets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Across their last 2 meetings Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 0, Ludogorets 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.5 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.7 for Ludogorets. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Ludogorets to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Ludogorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Lokomotiv Plovdiv12%fair 8.35 · @6.50
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.50
Ludogorets69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
2.17Expected goals
0.48Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.69Ludogorets xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
1–19%
0–39%
1–28%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.5 – 1.7 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓69%1.451.44
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓88%1.141.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.801.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✓42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.18–

Form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

DWWDWD
26 Octvs Slavia Sofia0–0D
21 Oct@ Cherno More Varna1–0W
16 Oct@ Yantra 20192–0W
10 Oct@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
2 Octvs Arda Kardzhali2–0W
20 Sepvs CSKA Sofia1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Ludogorets – last 6

LWWWWW
26 Oct@ CSKA Sofia0–2L
17 Oct@ Beroe3–0W
12 Octvs Arda Kardzhali5–0W
4 Octvs Cherno More Varna5–0W
14 Sepvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
6 Sep@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–1W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Ludogorets v Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0
2 Mar 2026Ludogorets v Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ludogorets 69%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Bonev.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.