Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Slavia Sofia travel to Stadion Lokomotiv in the First League on Monday 26 October (16:00 WAT) to face Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Slavia Sofia sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Cherno More Varna 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Slavia Sofia's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Akademik Svishtov 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.8 for Slavia Sofia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 43%, draw 23%, Slavia Sofia 33%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Slavia Sofia to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–0 Slavia Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Slavia Sofia33%fair 3.01 · @3.30
1.73Expected goals
0.96Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.77Slavia Sofia xG
46%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.0 – 0.8 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win✗
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.89
–
Form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
WWDWDL
21 Oct
@ Cherno More Varna
1–0
W
16 Oct
@ Yantra 2019
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Arda Kardzhali
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Slavia Sofia – last 6
WLWLDW
17 Oct
@ Akademik Svishtov
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
18 Sep
vs CSKA 1948
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Spartak Varna
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Dunav Ruse
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Slavia Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slavia Sofia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–0 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
