Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Botev Vratsa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Botev Vratsa to win @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chanceBotev Vratsa or draw ✗88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Varna travel to Hristo Botev Stadium in the First League on Saturday 10 October (13:00 WAT) to face Botev Vratsa. Botev Vratsa are 13th with 10 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Spartak Varna sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Botev Vratsa's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Slavia Sofia 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Spartak Varna's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Botev Vratsa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Botev Vratsa and 0.7 for Spartak Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Botev Vratsa to win at 1.83 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Botev Vratsa or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Botev Vratsa 1–0 Spartak Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Vratsa65%fair 1.54 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Spartak Varna12%fair 8.04 · @4.20
2.65Expected goals
1.93Botev Vratsa xG
0.72Spartak Varna xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.9 – 0.7 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Vratsa to win✗
65%
1.54
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Botev Vratsa or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Botev Vratsa ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Botev Vratsa – last 6
LDDWLW
3 Oct
@ Slavia Sofia
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Levski Sofia
0–0
D
4 Sep
@ Septemvri Sofia
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Botev Plovdiv
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
LDDDLL
20 Sep
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Slavia Sofia
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Ludogorets
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–6
L
17 Aug
vs Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Botev Vratsa or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartak Varna 12%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
