CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
CSKA Sofia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.85
CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees CSKA Sofia take on Arda Kardzhali on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at National Stadium Vasil Levski. CSKA Sofia are 1st with 34 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CSKA Sofia's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Levski Sofia 4–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Botev Plovdiv 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for CSKA Sofia and 0.9 for Arda Kardzhali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CSKA Sofia 60%, draw 21%, Arda Kardzhali 20%.
Safer route: CSKA Sofia or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CSKA Sofia to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: CSKA Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Sofia60%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.30
Arda Kardzhali20%fair 5.13 · @4.40
2.80Expected goals
1.86CSKA Sofia xG
0.94Arda Kardzhali xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.9 – 0.9 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia to win✓
60%
1.68
1.70
Double chance
CSKA Sofia or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.85
–
Form
CSKA Sofia – last 6
WDWLLW
9 Sep
@ Levski Sofia
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Spartak Varna
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Cherno More Varna
3–1
W
27 Aug
vs OFI
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ OFI
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs Botev Vratsa
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
LWWWWL
4 Sep
vs Botev Plovdiv
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Botev Vratsa
2–0
W
24 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Dunav Ruse
2–0
W
31 Jul
@ CSKA 1948
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Sofia and Arda Kardzhali.
What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is CSKA Sofia to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arda Kardzhali 20%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
