Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✗68% · @1.57
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.17
Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Varna host CSKA Sofia in the First League on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Spartak Varna are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while CSKA Sofia sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spartak Varna's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Ludogorets 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
CSKA Sofia's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Cherno More Varna 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Spartak Varna and 2.3 for CSKA Sofia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spartak Varna 10%, draw 22%, CSKA Sofia 68%.
Safer route: CSKA Sofia or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CSKA Sofia to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spartak Varna 0–2 CSKA Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Varna10%fair 10.08 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.60
CSKA Sofia68%fair 1.48 · @1.57
3.23Expected goals
0.88Spartak Varna xG
2.35CSKA Sofia xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 0.9 – 2.3 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia to win✗
68%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
CSKA Sofia or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.17
–
Form
Spartak Varna – last 6
DLLLWW
30 Aug
vs Ludogorets
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–6
L
17 Aug
vs Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Botev Plovdiv
2–3
L
3 Aug
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Cherno More Varna
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSKA Sofia – last 6
WLLWLW
30 Aug
vs Cherno More Varna
3–1
W
27 Aug
vs OFI
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ OFI
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs Botev Vratsa
5–0
W
13 Aug
vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Varna and CSKA Sofia.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is CSKA Sofia to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CSKA Sofia 68%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 0–2 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
