Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceSlavia Sofia or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.63
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Septemvri Sofia travel to Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov in the First League on Friday 28 August (17:00 WAT) to face Slavia Sofia. Slavia Sofia are 8th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Septemvri Sofia sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Slavia Sofia's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Ludogorets 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat CSKA 1948 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Septemvri Sofia 2–3 Slavia Sofia. Across their last 3 meetings Slavia Sofia have won 2, Septemvri Sofia 1, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Slavia Sofia and 0.6 for Septemvri Sofia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Slavia Sofia 63%, draw 23%, Septemvri Sofia 14%.
Safer route: Slavia Sofia or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Slavia Sofia to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slavia Sofia63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Septemvri Sofia14%fair 6.94 · @4.20
2.20Expected goals
1.60Slavia Sofia xG
0.60Septemvri Sofia xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.6 – 0.6 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Septemvri Sofia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
