Value bet: Dunav Ruse to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv Sofia travel to Gradski Stadium in the First League on Monday 31 August (17:00 WAT) to face Dunav Ruse. Dunav Ruse are 10th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dunav Ruse's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Cherno More Varna 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Arda Kardzhali 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Dunav Ruse and 1.5 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dunav Ruse 35%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Sofia 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Dunav Ruse to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Dunav Ruse 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dunav Ruse35%fair 2.88 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Lokomotiv Sofia44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
2.74Expected goals
1.27Dunav Ruse xG
1.47Lokomotiv Sofia xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dunav Ruse 1.3 – 1.5 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✗
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Dunav Ruse – last 6
LWLLLL
21 Aug
@ Cherno More Varna
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ CSKA Sofia
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Ludogorets
0–2
L
17 Jul
@ Levski Sofia
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
LLDLDD
17 Aug
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs CSKA 1948
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Levski Sofia
1–2
L
21 Jul
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Teuta Durrës
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunav Ruse and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Dunav Ruse have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Sofia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Dunav Ruse 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
