Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
CSKA 1948 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA 1948 to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✗91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 preview and prediction
The match
Septemvri Sofia host CSKA 1948 in the First League on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Dragalevtsi Stadium. Septemvri Sofia are 12th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while CSKA 1948 sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Spartak Varna 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
CSKA 1948's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Cherno More Varna 4–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
CSKA 1948 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.8 for Septemvri Sofia and 2.3 for CSKA 1948. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 9%, draw 24%, CSKA 1948 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CSKA 1948 to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA 1948. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia9%fair 11.47 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.75
CSKA 194867%fair 1.48 · @1.44
3.10Expected goals
0.82Septemvri Sofia xG
2.28CSKA 1948 xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.8 – 2.3 CSKA 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA 1948 to win✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Double chance
CSKA 1948 or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
CSKA 1948 ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA 1948 / FT CSKA 1948✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
WLLLDL
17 Aug
@ Spartak Varna
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs CSKA Sofia
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–3
L
26 Jul
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Arda Kardzhali
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ Ludogorets
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSKA 1948 – last 6
WDWDWD
14 Aug
vs Cherno More Varna
4–1
W
11 Aug
vs Panathinaikos
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Panathinaikos
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Arda Kardzhali
2–1
W
28 Jul
vs Spartak Trnava
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA 1948.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
Our pick is CSKA 1948 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CSKA 1948 67%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 (First League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Dragalevtsi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
