Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
CSKA Sofia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓10% · fair 9.83
Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia preview and prediction
The match
CSKA Sofia travel to Stadion Lokomotiv in the First League on Wednesday 16 September (17:00 WAT) to face Lokomotiv Sofia. Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th with 9 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while CSKA Sofia sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Cherno More Varna 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
CSKA Sofia's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Arda Kardzhali 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
CSKA Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 0.9 for Lokomotiv Sofia and 2.4 for CSKA Sofia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv Sofia 12%, draw 21%, CSKA Sofia 67%.
Safer route: CSKA Sofia or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CSKA Sofia to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Sofia12%fair 8.27 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.90
CSKA Sofia67%fair 1.48 · @1.55
3.31Expected goals
0.95Lokomotiv Sofia xG
2.36CSKA Sofia xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 0.9 – 2.4 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is CSKA Sofia to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSKA Sofia 67%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
