Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Varna travel to Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov in the First League on Saturday 22 August (19:15 WAT) to face Levski Sofia. Levski Sofia are 2nd with 32 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Spartak Varna sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Levski Sofia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with AEK Athens FC 0–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spartak Varna's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Septemvri Sofia 0–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Levski Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Levski Sofia and 0.7 for Spartak Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Levski Sofia 70%, draw 17%, Spartak Varna 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Levski Sofia 2–0 Spartak Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Levski Sofia70%fair 1.42 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.94 · @5.00
Spartak Varna13%fair 7.89 · @10.25
2.87Expected goals
2.13Levski Sofia xG
0.74Spartak Varna xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 2.1 – 0.7 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
70%
1.42
1.25
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✓
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
Levski Sofia – last 6
DWWWWD
18 Aug
vs AEK Athens FC
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Kairat Almaty
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2–0
W
4 Aug
vs Kairat Almaty
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Universitatea Craiova
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
LLWWDW
17 Aug
vs Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Botev Plovdiv
2–3
L
3 Aug
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Cherno More Varna
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs CSKA 1948
2–2
D
11 Jul
vs Dobrudzha
7–3
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Spartak Varna 13%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 2–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
