Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Cherno More Varna to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.42
Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse preview and prediction
The match
Cherno More Varna host Dunav Ruse in the First League on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Ticha Stadium. Cherno More Varna are 9th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Dunav Ruse sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cherno More Varna's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to CSKA 1948 1–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Dunav Ruse's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Cherno More Varna 1–1 Dunav Ruse.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Cherno More Varna and 0.7 for Dunav Ruse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Cherno More Varna to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cherno More Varna 2–0 Dunav Ruse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cherno More Varna68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.65
Dunav Ruse10%fair 9.55 · @5.60
2.74Expected goals
2.04Cherno More Varna xG
0.70Dunav Ruse xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 2.0 – 0.7 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?
Our pick is Cherno More Varna to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dunav Ruse 10%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 2–0 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?
Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse (First League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Ticha Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
