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First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv
1–2
FT

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceLokomotiv Plovdiv or draw ✗84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse preview and prediction

The match

The First League sees Lokomotiv Plovdiv take on Dunav Ruse on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Dunav Ruse sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Levski Sofia 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Dunav Ruse's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Arda Kardzhali 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.7 for Dunav Ruse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Dunav Ruse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Lokomotiv Plovdiv59%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
Dunav Ruse16%fair 6.42 · @5.00
2.27Expected goals
1.59Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.68Dunav Ruse xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.6 – 0.7 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗59%1.681.65
Double chanceLokomotiv Plovdiv or draw ✗84%1.181.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.00
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.271.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv Plovdiv / FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.09–

Form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

LLWLWW
7 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–2L
3 Aug@ Spartak Varna0–1L
26 Julvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
18 Jul@ Ludogorets0–1L
8 Jul@ Rilski Sportist2–0W
4 Julvs Arda Kardzhali2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Dunav Ruse – last 6

LLLLDD
8 Augvs Arda Kardzhali0–2L
2 Aug@ CSKA Sofia1–2L
27 Julvs Ludogorets0–2L
17 Jul@ Levski Sofia1–2L
11 Jul@ Cherno More Varna1–1D
1 Julvs Dobrudzha1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dunav Ruse 16%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse (First League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.