Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceLokomotiv Plovdiv or draw ✗84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Lokomotiv Plovdiv take on Dunav Ruse on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Dunav Ruse sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Levski Sofia 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Dunav Ruse's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Arda Kardzhali 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.7 for Dunav Ruse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Dunav Ruse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv59%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
Dunav Ruse16%fair 6.42 · @5.00
2.27Expected goals
1.59Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.68Dunav Ruse xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.6 – 0.7 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win✗
59%
1.68
1.65
Double chance
Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Plovdiv / FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
LLWLWW
7 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–2
L
3 Aug
@ Spartak Varna
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Septemvri Sofia
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Ludogorets
0–1
L
8 Jul
@ Rilski Sportist
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Arda Kardzhali
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dunav Ruse – last 6
LLLLDD
8 Aug
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ CSKA Sofia
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Ludogorets
0–2
L
17 Jul
@ Levski Sofia
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Cherno More Varna
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs Dobrudzha
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dunav Ruse 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse (First League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.