First League · Bulgaria · Dragalevtsi StadiumSeptemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.8 – 1.9 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
CSKA Sofia travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 14% for Septemvri Sofia.
Septemvri Sofia have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. CSKA Sofia have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. CSKA Sofia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (0.8 for Septemvri Sofia, 1.9 for CSKA Sofia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CSKA Sofia to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | CSKA Sofia or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.69 | – |
Form
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
| 1 Aug | @ Levski Sofia | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs Arda Kardzhali | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Jul | @ Ludogorets | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Jul | vs Hebar 1918 | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Jul | vs Slavia Sofia | 2–3 | L |
CSKA Sofia – last 6
| 6 Aug | @ Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Dunav Ruse | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jul | vs Qarabag | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jul | vs Botev Plovdiv | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Jul | @ Qarabag | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | @ Slavia Sofia | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia | 14 | +23 | 34 |
| 2 |  Levski Sofia | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets | 13 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 14 | +17 | 29 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Arda Kardzhali | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Spartak Varna | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Slavia Sofia | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |  Cherno More Varna | 14 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 |  Dunav Ruse | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Septemvri Sofia | 14 | -13 | 11 |
| 13 |  Botev Vratsa | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | -11 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CSKA Sofia 62%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Dragalevtsi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.