Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Slavia Sofia take on Lokomotiv Sofia on Friday 31 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov. Slavia Sofia are 8th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Slavia Sofia's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Arda Kardzhali 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Levski Sofia 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Slavia Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Lokomotiv Sofia 2–0 Slavia Sofia. Across their last 2 meetings Slavia Sofia have won 0, Lokomotiv Sofia 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Slavia Sofia and 0.9 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Slavia Sofia 40%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Sofia 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Slavia Sofia to win at 2.85 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Slavia Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slavia Sofia40%fair 2.48 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
Lokomotiv Sofia33%fair 3.01 · @2.25
2.20Expected goals
1.30Slavia Sofia xG
0.90Lokomotiv Sofia xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.3 – 0.9 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lokomotiv Sofia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Slavia Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
