Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Cherno More Varna to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction
The match
Cherno More Varna travel to Hristo Botev Stadium in the First League on Sunday 19 July (17:30 WAT) to face Botev Vratsa. Botev Vratsa are 13th with 10 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Cherno More Varna sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Botev Vratsa's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Arda Kardzhali 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Cherno More Varna's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Dunav Ruse 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Cherno More Varna 0–0 Botev Vratsa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Botev Vratsa and 1.1 for Cherno More Varna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Cherno More Varna to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Botev Vratsa 1–1 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Vratsa34%fair 2.98 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Cherno More Varna40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
2.14Expected goals
1.01Botev Vratsa xG
1.14Cherno More Varna xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.0 – 1.1 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cherno More Varna 40%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–1 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
