Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Universitario

Tigres UANL

LDLDW
2–3
FT

Cruz Azul

WWWWD

Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultCruz Azul to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Win chances

Tigres UANL32%fair 3.17 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.50
Cruz Azul48%fair 2.09 · @2.30
3.05Expected goals
1.34Tigres UANL xG
1.71Cruz Azul xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.3 – 1.7 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Cruz Azul shade it despite being away from home – 48% to win, against 32% for Tigres UANL.

Tigres UANL have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cruz Azul have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Cruz Azul come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 for Tigres UANL, 1.7 for Cruz Azul). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Tigres UANL have won 0, Cruz Azul have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.26. For a bigger price, Cruz Azul to win at 2.30 is our value angle (48% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCruz Azul to win ✓48%2.092.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.651.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.77–

Form

Tigres UANL – last 6

LDLDWW
1 Nov@ CF Pachuca0–3L
25 Oct@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1D
21 Octvs Leon0–2L
18 Oct@ Guadalajara Chivas1–1D
10 Octvs Toluca3–2W
27 Sepvs Puebla1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cruz Azul – last 6

WWWWDD
2 Novvs Leon2–1W
26 Oct@ Club Queretaro3–1W
22 Oct@ CF Pachuca2–1W
18 Octvs FC Juarez5–0W
12 Oct@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas3–3D
26 Sepvs Toluca3–3D
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Cruz Azul v Tigres UANL2–1

More Liga MX predictions

FT Atlas1 CF Pachuca4 372440 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓ FT Toluca4 Monterrey0 681914 1Toluca to win 68%@1.70 ✓ FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas2 Club America2 322247 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?

On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cruz Azul 48%.

How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?

Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.