Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
CF Pachuca
Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: CF Pachuca to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atlas 1.5 – 1.6 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Atlas and CF Pachuca on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Atlas have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. CF Pachuca have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Atlas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Atlas, 1.6 for CF Pachuca). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Atlas have won 0, CF Pachuca have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.26. For a bigger price, CF Pachuca to win at 2.88 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CF Pachuca to win ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | 2.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CF Pachuca / FT CF Pachuca ✓ | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.65 | – |
Form
Atlas – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Atletico San Luis | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | vs Puebla | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Club America | 2–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Necaxa | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Guadalajara Chivas | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Club Tijuana | 3–2 | W |
CF Pachuca – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Tigres UANL | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Club America | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Cruz Azul | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Monterrey | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Necaxa | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Santos Laguna | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Feb 2026 | Pachuca v Atlas | 3–1 |
More Liga MX predictions
Tigres UANL2
Cruz Azul3
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
80%@1.20
✓
FT
Toluca4
Monterrey0
1Toluca to win
68%@1.70
✓
FT
U.N.A.M. - Pumas2
Club America2
GGBoth teams to score
63%@1.53
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
On our numbers Atlas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CF Pachuca 40%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Atlas vs CF Pachuca?
Atlas vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.