Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.27
Cruz Azul vs Leon preview and prediction
The match
Cruz Azul host Leon in the Liga MX on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Banorte.
Form guide
Cruz Azul's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Club Queretaro 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Leon's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Toluca 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Cruz Azul and 1.2 for Leon. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruz Azul 60%, draw 19%, Leon 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cruz Azul 2–1 Leon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul60%fair 1.65 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
Leon20%fair 4.95 · @4.00
3.36Expected goals
2.18Cruz Azul xG
1.18Leon xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.2 – 1.2 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.27
–
Form
Cruz Azul – last 6
WWWDDL
26 Oct
@ Club Queretaro
3–1
W
22 Oct
@ CF Pachuca
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs FC Juarez
5–0
W
12 Oct
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3–3
D
26 Sep
vs Toluca
3–3
D
20 Sep
@ Monterrey
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leon – last 6
DWLDWD
25 Oct
vs Toluca
1–1
D
21 Oct
@ Tigres UANL
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Club America
3–5
L
10 Oct
@ Puebla
1–1
D
28 Sep
vs FC Juarez
2–1
W
21 Sep
@ Club Queretaro
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Leon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Leon?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leon 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Leon?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Leon?
Cruz Azul vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
