Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlas to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceAtlas or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.27
Atlas vs Puebla preview and prediction
The match
Puebla travel to Estadio Jalisco in the Liga MX on Monday 26 October (00:00 WAT) to face Atlas. Atlas are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Puebla sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atlas's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Club America 2–5 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Puebla's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Monterrey 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Atlas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 July 2026, finished Atlas 3–4 Puebla.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Atlas and 0.8 for Puebla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlas 67%, draw 19%, Puebla 14%.
Safer route: Atlas or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlas to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlas 2–0 Puebla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.40
Puebla14%fair 7.04 · @4.20
2.85Expected goals
2.04Atlas xG
0.81Puebla xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atlas 2.0 – 0.8 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Atlas to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Atlas vs Puebla?
On our numbers Atlas have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Puebla 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Atlas 2–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Puebla?
Atlas vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
