Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNecaxa to win ✗61% · @1.65
Double chanceNecaxa or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Necaxa vs FC Juarez preview and prediction
The match
Necaxa host FC Juarez in the Liga MX on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Victoria. Necaxa are 17th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while FC Juarez sit 18th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Necaxa's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
FC Juarez's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Atlante FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Juarez arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished FC Juarez 1–2 Necaxa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Necaxa and 1.0 for FC Juarez. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa 61%, draw 22%, FC Juarez 16%.
Safer route: Necaxa or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Necaxa or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Necaxa 2–1 FC Juarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
FC Juarez16%fair 6.20 · @4.20
3.12Expected goals
2.11Necaxa xG
1.01FC Juarez xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Necaxa 2.1 – 1.0 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Necaxa or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Juarez 16%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 2–1 FC Juarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
Necaxa vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
