Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.88
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon preview and prediction
The match
U.N.A.M. - Pumas host Leon in the Liga MX on Friday 11 September, with kick-off at 04:05 (WAT).
Form guide
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Club Tijuana 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Leon's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Club America 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1.1 for Leon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 45%, draw 21%, Leon 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Leon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Leon34%fair 2.96 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.37U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.13Leon xG
61%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.4 – 1.1 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win✓
45%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U.N.A.M. - Pumas / FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6
LDDDLL
29 Aug
@ Club Tijuana
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Necaxa
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Club Queretaro
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Charlotte
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leon – last 6
WLDWWW
6 Sep
vs Club America
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Toluca
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Atlante FC
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Real Salt Lake
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Monterrey
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Necaxa
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Leon.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leon 34%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
